Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.024810 0.026699 0.028672 0.030886 0.033307 0.035874 0.038809
2024-12-22 0.021194 0.023810 0.026683 0.030082 0.034006 0.038411 0.043749
2024-12-29 0.018981 0.022019 0.025485 0.029754 0.034897 0.040929 0.048591
2025-01-05 0.017331 0.020628 0.024506 0.029438 0.035593 0.043082 0.052979
2025-01-12 0.015850 0.019268 0.023392 0.028782 0.035708 0.044404 0.056297
2025-01-19 0.015047 0.018650 0.023101 0.029066 0.036948 0.047141 0.061545
2025-01-26 0.014225 0.017934 0.022611 0.029021 0.037702 0.049234 0.066021
2025-02-02 0.013669 0.017511 0.022451 0.029366 0.038957 0.052030 0.071619
2025-02-09 0.012939 0.016808 0.021868 0.029084 0.039303 0.053554 0.075473
2025-02-16 0.012342 0.016243 0.021427 0.028952 0.039824 0.055322 0.079765
2025-02-23 0.011767 0.015674 0.020943 0.028719 0.040162 0.056816 0.083715
2025-03-02 0.011323 0.015260 0.020645 0.028721 0.040826 0.058805 0.088541
2025-03-09 0.010773 0.014675 0.020084 0.028315 0.040866 0.059866 0.092001
2025-03-16 0.010214 0.014052 0.019437 0.027746 0.040618 0.060456 0.094722
2025-03-23 0.009788 0.013600 0.019014 0.027484 0.040816 0.061743 0.098676
2025-03-30 0.009389 0.013168 0.018597 0.027205 0.040962 0.062938 0.102540
2025-04-06 0.008931 0.012629 0.017998 0.026608 0.040560 0.063197 0.104763
2025-04-13 0.008731 0.012465 0.017950 0.026868 0.041552 0.065821 0.111389
2025-04-20 0.008466 0.012191 0.017722 0.026827 0.042038 0.067605 0.116605
2025-04-27 0.008304 0.012067 0.017718 0.027141 0.043131 0.070495 0.124105
2025-05-04 0.008016 0.011736 0.017376 0.026884 0.043229 0.071631 0.128325
2025-05-11 0.007775 0.011470 0.017125 0.026764 0.043553 0.073181 0.133465
2025-05-18 0.007527 0.011183 0.016828 0.026551 0.043698 0.074406 0.138038